▲ 1
Pitch Pattern
Ray Kerr · Bryce Harper
Ray Kerr struck out Bryce Harper in the first inning on four pitches, finishing the plate appearance with an out-of-zone 91.9 mph cutter that induced a swinging strike.
MLB
October 1, 2026 · Truist Park
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves Game Analysis — October 1, 2026
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| ATL | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | — | 6 | 6 | 0 |
Follow the scoring sequence from the first run to the final margin.
PHIScoreATL
- 10–3Supports the analysis
Harris II homered to right center (387 feet), Acuña Jr. scored and Olson scored.
- 40–5Supports the analysis
Albies homered to right center (419 feet), Riley scored.
- 6Supports the analysis
Bohm grounded out to shortstop, Schwarber scored, Harper to third.
1–5 - 71–6Supports the analysis
Olson homered to center (416 feet).
- 8
Turner hit sacrifice fly to center, Hill scored.
2–6
Read the plays and performances in chronological order, or filter the view by team.
- 1–2
Player Influence
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola surrendered three earned runs on two hits, two walks, and a home run over 1.2 innings (38 pitches) before being removed in the second inning.
- pitches
- 38
- innings appeared
- 1–2
- 1–4
Starting Pitcher Appearance
Ray Kerr
Atlanta starting pitcher Ray Kerr held Philadelphia scoreless across 3.1 innings, allowing one hit and one walk while striking out two batters on 47 pitches over 12 batters faced.
- pitches
- 47
- innings appeared
- 1–4
Atlanta Braves pitcher deployment
Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (6 pitchers, 5 subsequent). - 1–7 · linked
Run Production
Michael Harris II · Ozzie Albies · Matt Olson
All six of the Atlanta Braves' runs were produced by three home runs: a three-run homer by Michael Harris II in the first inning, a two-run homer by Ozzie Albies in the fourth, and a solo shot by Matt Olson in the seventh.
- 1–8 · linked
Player Influence
Kyle Schwarber
Kyle Schwarber reached base in three of four plate appearances for Philadelphia, collecting two singles and a walk while scoring a run.
- 2–6 · linked
Player Influence
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith recorded two hits in three at-bats for Atlanta, tallying an infield single in the second inning and a single to center in the fourth.
- 3–6
Bullpen Usage
Zack Wheeler
Zack Wheeler provided four innings of relief for Philadelphia, throwing 68 pitches (42 strikes) while yielding two runs on three hits and three walks with three strikeouts.
- pitches
- 68
- innings appeared
- 3–6
- ▲4–▼4
Scoring Play
Zack Wheeler · Austin Riley · Ozzie Albies
In the fourth inning, Austin Riley drew a nine-pitch walk against Zack Wheeler with one out, immediately followed by Ozzie Albies hitting a 419-foot, two-run home run off a 96.5 mph fastball to extend Atlanta's lead to 5-0.
- 4–6 · linked
Player Influence
Austin Riley
Austin Riley drew two walks and saw 22 total pitches across four plate appearances, including a nine-pitch walk in the fourth inning and a five-pitch walk in the sixth.
- ▲5–▼5
Bases-occupied Run Prevention
Grant Holmes
In the fifth inning, Grant Holmes managed base-out pressure after a single and a walk put two runners on with no outs, inducing a flyout from J.T. Realmuto and an inning-ending double play from Justin Crawford to maintain Atlanta's 5-0 shutout.
Grant Holmes pitch selection by count
Observed pitch-type mix across 4 count groups (28 valid pitches). - ▲ 6
Scoring Sequence
Kyle Schwarber · Bryce Harper · Alec Bohm
Philadelphia scored its first run in the sixth inning when Kyle Schwarber singled, Bryce Harper doubled to put runners on second and third, and Alec Bohm drove Schwarber home with an RBI groundout.
- ▲7–▼7
Bullpen Usage
Didier Fuentes
Didier Fuentes retired all three batters he faced on 13 pitches in a perfect seventh inning of relief for Atlanta.
- ▲7–▼7
Scoring Sequence
Matt Olson · Jonathan Bowlan
Matt Olson hit a 416-foot solo home run to center field off Jonathan Bowlan with two outs in the seventh inning on an 92.1 mph changeup.
- ▲8–▼8
Pitch Pattern
Jhoan Duran
Jhoan Duran struck out two of three batters faced in a scoreless eighth inning for Philadelphia, throwing 10 of 15 pitches for strikes and reaching 101.1 mph on a four-seam fastball.
See what the reviewed evidence supports—and where its limits are.
All six Atlanta runs came on home runs
HighEvery run scored by Atlanta in the game was produced by home runs hit by Harris II, Albies, and Olson.
Evidence
- Final score 2–6
Bottom 1st
- Harris II homered to right center (387 feet), Acuña Jr. scored and Olson scored.
Bottom 4th
- Albies homered to right center (419 feet), Riley scored.
Bottom 7th
- Olson homered to center (416 feet).
Bottom 1
- Michael Harris II vs Aaron Nola
Bottom 4
- Ozzie Albies vs Zack Wheeler
Bottom 7
- Matt Olson vs Jonathan Bowlan
- Atlanta Braves
Not implied
- Does not imply Atlanta lacked base hits from other players.
- Does not imply season-long reliance on home run scoring.
Limitations
- Focuses strictly on Atlanta's scoring plays and does not measure overall base-hit efficiency or non-scoring plate appearances.
Riley’s walk turned Albies’ homer into a two-run blow
HighAustin Riley's nine-pitch walk and Ozzie Albies' subsequent 419-foot two-run home run expanded Atlanta's lead to 5-0 in the fourth inning.
Evidence
Bottom 4
- Austin Riley vs Zack Wheeler
- Ozzie Albies vs Zack Wheeler
- Bottom 4 · Austin Riley vs Zack Wheeler · Walk
- Splitter · 88.5 mph · Ball In Dirt
- 4-Seam Fastball · 96.5 mph · In play, run(s)
- Riley walked.
- Pitch 2 : Ball In Play
Bottom 4
- Albies homered to right center (419 feet), Riley scored.
- Base/out transitions · Bottom 4
- Score after inning 4: 0–2
Not implied
- Does not imply fatigue caused Wheeler to surrender the home run.
- Does not imply Albies targeted the specific pitch type in advance.
Limitations
- Describes the isolated fourth-inning scoring event without modeling Wheeler's overall multi-inning effectiveness.
Kerr’s 3.1 scoreless innings gave Atlanta a runway
HighRay Kerr delivered 3.1 scoreless innings as Atlanta's starter, conceding only one hit and one walk against 12 batters faced.
Evidence
- Ray Kerr · 3.1 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 2 K · 1 BB · 47 pitches
- Ray Kerr · 47 pitches · innings 1–4
Top 1
- Trea Turner vs Ray Kerr
- Kyle Schwarber vs Ray Kerr
- Bryce Harper vs Ray Kerr
- Alec Bohm vs Ray Kerr
Top 2
- Bryson Stott vs Ray Kerr
- Bryan De La Cruz vs Ray Kerr
- Edmundo Sosa vs Ray Kerr
Top 3
- J.T. Realmuto vs Ray Kerr
- Justin Crawford vs Ray Kerr
Not implied
- Does not imply Kerr was removed due to injury or fatigue.
- Does not establish a permanent rotation role.
Limitations
- Covers only Kerr's 3.1 innings of work and does not indicate stamina for longer outings.
Holmes erased a two-on, no-out fifth inning
MediumGrant Holmes successfully neutralized Philadelphia's multi-runner, no-out scoring threat in the fifth inning through a flyout and an inning-ending double play.
Evidence
Top 5
- Bryan De La Cruz vs Grant Holmes
- Brandon Marsh vs Grant Holmes
- J.T. Realmuto vs Grant Holmes
- Justin Crawford vs Grant Holmes
- Sinker · 94 mph · In play, no out
- Cutter · 93.6 mph · In play, out(s)
- Changeup · 90.4 mph · In play, out(s)
- De La Cruz singled to center.
- De La Cruz to second on wild pitch by Holmes.
- Marsh walked.
- Realmuto flied out to right.
- Crawford grounded into double play, second to shortstop to first, Marsh out at second.
- Base/out transitions · Top 5
- Grant Holmes · 2 IP · 2 H · 1 ER · 1 K · 1 BB · 28 pitches · W
- Score after inning 5: 0–0
Not implied
- Does not imply Crawford intended to hit into a double play.
- Does not establish a general ground-ball induction skill for Holmes beyond this inning.
Limitations
- Ground-ball double play and flyout results reflect observable execution rather than guaranteed contact management.