MLB

October 7, 2026 · Truist Park

Los Angeles Dodgers at Atlanta Braves Game Analysis — October 7, 2026

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LAD010000201450
ATL100000000132

Scoring path

Follow the scoring sequence from the first run to the final margin.

LADScoreATL
  1. 1
    0–1
    Supports the analysis

    Harris II scored on Glasnow wild pitch.

  2. 0–1

    Harris II scored on Glasnow wild pitch.

  3. 2
    Supports the analysis

    Ohtani scored on error, Muncy safe at first on fielding error by shortstop Dubón.

    1–1
  4. 7

    Pages singled to center, Edman scored and T. Hernández scored, Tucker to third.

    3–1
  5. 9
    Supports the analysis

    Muncy homered to right (389 feet).

    4–1

Key observations by inning

Read the plays and performances in chronological order, or filter the view by team.

  1. 1–7

    Starting Pitching Outing

    Tyler Mahle

    Tyler Mahle limited the Dodgers to one earned run and three hits across 6.1 innings, utilizing a primary splitter and four-seam fastball mix to strike out four batters before exiting in the seventh inning.

    pitches
    85
    innings appeared
    1–7
  2. 1–7 · linked

    Player Influence

    Michael Harris II

    Michael Harris II reached base in three of four plate appearances for Atlanta, recording two of the Braves' three hits with a single and a double alongside one walk and a stolen base.

  3. ▼ 1

    Scoring Sequence

    Michael Harris II · Tyler Glasnow

    Atlanta took a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the first inning when Michael Harris II singled, stole second base, advanced to third on a groundout, and scored on a wild pitch by Tyler Glasnow.

  4. ▲ 2

    Scoring Sequence

    Shohei Ohtani · Sean Murphy · Max Muncy · Mauricio Dubon

    The Dodgers tied the game 1-1 in the top of the second inning after Shohei Ohtani walked, advanced to third on a stolen base and throwing error by Sean Murphy, and scored when Max Muncy reached on a fielding error by Mauricio Dubon.

  5. 2–7 · linked

    Matchup Effect

    Tyler Mahle · Shohei Ohtani

    Tyler Mahle held Shohei Ohtani hitless across three matchups, inducing a walk in the second inning, a strikeout in the fourth, and a groundout to second base in the seventh.

  6. 2–9 · linked

    Offensive Scoring Plays

    Max Muncy · Shohei Ohtani · Raisel Iglesias

    Max Muncy contributed to two Los Angeles runs by reaching on a second-inning fielding error that allowed Shohei Ohtani to score, and hitting a ninth-inning solo home run to right field off Raisel Iglesias.

  7. 3–7 · linked

    Player Influence

    Andy Pages

    Andy Pages collected two of the Dodgers' five hits, going 2-for-3 with a third-inning single and the game-winning two-run single in the seventh inning.

  8. ▲ 4

    Pitch Pattern

    Tyler Mahle · Will Smith · Shohei Ohtani · Teoscar Hernandez

    In the top of the fourth inning, Tyler Mahle struck out Will Smith, Shohei Ohtani, and Teoscar Hernandez in succession on 16 total pitches, concluding all three strikeouts on swings or foul tips.

  9. 5–6

    Inherited Runner Relief Management

    Alex Vesia · Matt Olson · Tyler Glasnow

    Alex Vesia entered with two outs and two runners on base in the bottom of the fifth inning, ending Atlanta's scoring threat on a single pitch by inducing an inning-ending groundout from left-handed batter Matt Olson to preserve a 1-1 tie.

    Bottom of the 5th — bases and outs

    4 plate-appearance transitions in the bottom of inning 5.

    4 plate-appearance transitions in the bottom of inning 5.

    4 plate-appearance transitions in the bottom of inning 5.
  10. 6–7

    Middle Relief Appearance

    Edgardo Henriquez

    Edgardo Henriquez threw 11 sinkers on 15 total pitches across 1.2 scoreless innings, utilizing pitch velocities between 99.9 and 102.3 mph to generate five ground-ball and line-drive outs and earn the win in relief.

  11. ▲ 7

    High-leverage Scoring Sequence

    Didier Fuentes · Robert Suarez · Andy Pages · Josue De Paula · Kyle Tucker

    In the top of the seventh inning, two consecutive two-out walks issued by Didier Fuentes loaded the bases and constrained Atlanta's run-prevention options, enabling Andy Pages to drive a go-ahead two-run single off reliever Robert Suarez to break a 1-1 tie.

    Atlanta Braves pitcher deployment

    Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (5 pitchers, 4 subsequent).

    Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (5 pitchers, 4 subsequent).

    Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (5 pitchers, 4 subsequent).
  12. ▲ 7

    Substitution Window

    Tommy Edman · Josue De Paula · Andy Pages

    Tommy Edman entered as a pinch-runner for Josue De Paula after a two-out walk in the seventh inning, scored on Andy Pages' single, and subsequently played left field and second base.

  13. 7–9

    Bullpen Usage

    Didier Fuentes · Robert Suarez · Dylan Lee · Raisel Iglesias

    Atlanta used four relief pitchers—Didier Fuentes, Robert Suarez, Dylan Lee, and Raisel Iglesias—who combined for 2.2 innings, allowing two earned runs and two hits.

  14. ▲ 9

    Scoring Sequence

    Max Muncy · Raisel Iglesias

    Max Muncy extended the Dodgers' lead to 4-1 in the top of the ninth inning by hitting a 389-foot solo home run to right field off Raisel Iglesias on a 3-2 count.

  15. ▲9–▼9

    Bullpen Usage

    Edwin Diaz · Rowdy Tellez · Mauricio Dubon · Austin Riley

    Edwin Diaz earned the save by retiring all three batters faced in the bottom of the ninth inning on eight pitches, striking out Rowdy Tellez looking before inducing two flyouts.

What this game can—and can’t tell us

LADATLShared

See what the reviewed evidence supports—and where its limits are.

  • The game flipped before Pages swung

    Medium

    It is safe to state that consecutive two-out walks in the seventh inning created a bases-loaded situation that culminated in Andy Pages' go-ahead two-run single off Robert Suarez.

    Evidence

    Top 7

    • Josue De Paula vs Didier Fuentes
    • Kyle Tucker vs Didier Fuentes
    • Andy Pages vs Robert Suarez
    • Slider · 82.7 mph · Ball
    • Slider · 82.5 mph · Ball
    • 4-Seam Fastball · 99.7 mph · In play, run(s)
    • De Paula walked.
    • Tucker walked, Edman to second, T. Hernández to third.
    • Suarez relieved Fuentes

    Top 7

    • Pages singled to center, Edman scored and T. Hernández scored, Tucker to third.
    • Base/out transitions · Top 7
    • Didier Fuentes · 0.1 IP · 0 H · 1 ER · 0 K · 2 BB · 14 pitches
    • Robert Suarez · 0.1 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 0 K · 0 BB · 8 pitches

    Not implied

    • This does not imply Didier Fuentes intentionally pitched around batters or suffered fatigue.
    • This does not imply Robert Suarez's pitch selection was erroneous.

    Limitations

    • Does not prove managerial bullpen intent or whether an alternate pitching deployment would have prevented runs.
    Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta BravesDidier FuentesRobert SuarezAndy PagesJosue De PaulaKyle Tucker
  • Mahle did the job that a 1-1 game demands

    Medium

    Tyler Mahle pitched 6.1 innings, allowing three hits and one earned run with four strikeouts using primarily splitters and four-seam fastballs.

    Evidence

    • Tyler Mahle · 6.1 IP · 3 H · 1 ER · 4 K · 1 BB · 85 pitches · L
    • Tyler Mahle · 85 pitches · innings 1–7
    • Tyler Mahle · 4-Seam Fastball · 40% usage
    • Tyler Mahle · Splitter · 55% usage

    Top 4

    • Will Smith vs Tyler Mahle
    • Shohei Ohtani vs Tyler Mahle
    • Teoscar Hernandez vs Tyler Mahle
    • Fuentes relieved Mahle

    Not implied

    • This does not imply Tyler Mahle's pitch selection was dictated by advance scouting plans.
    • This does not imply complete command over all pitch locations.

    Limitations

    • Pitch usage aggregates describe game totals rather than intent on specific sequences.
    Atlanta BravesTyler Mahle
  • One pitch preserved the 1-1 structure

    Medium

    It is safe to report that Alex Vesia stranded two inherited runners by retiring Matt Olson on one pitch with two outs in the fifth inning.

    Evidence

    Bottom 5

    • Ronald Acuna Jr. vs Tyler Glasnow
    • Matt Olson vs Alex Vesia
    • Vesia relieved Glasnow
    • Olson grounded out to second.
    • 4-Seam Fastball · 91.8 mph · In play, out(s)
    • Base/out transitions · Bottom 5
    • Alex Vesia vs Matt Olson · 1 pitches · Groundout
    • Alex Vesia · 0.2 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 0 K · 0 BB · 9 pitches
    • Matt Olson · 0-for-4 · 1 K
    • Alex Vesia · bullpen · 9 pitches · innings 5–6

    Not implied

    • This does not prove that a left-on-left platoon advantage was the sole cause of the groundout.
    • This does not imply Matt Olson routinely struggles against left-handed relievers.

    Limitations

    • Does not demonstrate general reliever dominance beyond this specific plate appearance.
    Los Angeles DodgersAlex VesiaMatt OlsonTyler Glasnow
  • Henriquez made the late innings a sinker problem

    Medium

    Edgardo Henriquez earned the win with 1.2 scoreless innings, throwing 11 sinkers that reached up to 102.3 mph to produce five outs.

    Evidence

    • Edgardo Henriquez · 1.2 IP · 1 H · 0 ER · 0 K · 0 BB · 15 pitches · W
    • Edgardo Henriquez · Sinker · 73% usage
    • Sinker · 100.3 mph · In play, out(s)
    • Sinker · 102.3 mph · In play, out(s)
    • Sinker · 99.9 mph · In play, out(s)
    • Sinker · 101.5 mph · In play, out(s)
    • Sinker · 100.7 mph · In play, out(s)

    Bottom 6

    • Lane Thomas vs Edgardo Henriquez
    • Mauricio Dubon vs Edgardo Henriquez

    Bottom 7

    • Austin Riley vs Edgardo Henriquez
    • Sean Murphy vs Edgardo Henriquez
    • Ronald Acuna Jr. vs Edgardo Henriquez
    • Edgardo Henriquez · bullpen · 15 pitches · innings 6–7

    Not implied

    • This does not imply sustainable season-long velocity control.
    • This does not imply that high velocity alone guaranteed weak contact.

    Limitations

    • Small single-game sample of 15 pitches does not define pitcher's full career velocity profile.
    Los Angeles DodgersEdgardo Henriquez