1–3 · linked
Team Profile
Team Profile
San Diego was held to three total hits in the game, with all three hits occurring across the first three innings.
MLB
October 7, 2026 · Petco Park
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres Game Analysis — October 7, 2026
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIL | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 |
| SD | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Follow the scoring sequence from the first run to the final margin.
MILScoreSD
- 3Supports the analysis
Mitchell singled to center, Frelick scored.
1–0 - 1–1Supports the analysis
Tatis Jr. homered to center (429 feet).
- 5Supports the analysis
Chourio singled to center, Mitchell scored.
2–1 - 6
Frelick hit sacrifice fly to left, Bauers scored.
3–1
Read the plays and performances in chronological order, or filter the view by team.
- ▼ 1
High-leverage Escape
Robert Gasser · Xander Bogaerts
Robert Gasser mitigated a bases-loaded, two-out threat in the bottom of the first inning by inducing an inning-ending pop out from Xander Bogaerts on a 0-2 sweeper, preventing San Diego from capitalizing on early run-scoring opportunities.
Robert Gasser pitch selection by count
Observed pitch-type mix across 4 count groups (56 valid pitches). - ▲ 3
Scoring Sequence
Garrett Mitchell · Sal Frelick · Walker Buehler
Garrett Mitchell singled home Sal Frelick in the top of the third inning to open the game's scoring.
- 3–5 · linked
Player Influence
Garrett Mitchell
Garrett Mitchell contributed two hits, including a fifth-inning triple, scored a run, and drove in Milwaukee's opening run.
- 3–6 · linked
Final Score
Final Score
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the San Diego Padres 3-1, outhitting the Padres 10-3 while scoring single runs in the third, fifth, and sixth innings and holding San Diego to a single run in the third inning.
- 3–6 · linked
Game Frame
Game Frame
Milwaukee out-hit San Diego 10-3 and won 3-1, with all four game runs scored between the third and sixth innings.
- ▼ 3
Game-tying Home Run
Fernando Tatis Jr. · Robert Gasser
Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a 429-foot solo home run to center field off Robert Gasser with zero outs in the bottom of the third inning, tying the score at 1-1 and providing San Diego's only run of the game.
- ▲ 5
Go-ahead Scoring Sequence
Garrett Mitchell · Jackson Chourio · Robbie Ray · Bradgley Rodriguez
In the top of the fifth inning, Garrett Mitchell led off with a triple off Robbie Ray and Jackson Chourio drove him home with an RBI single to center field against Bradgley Rodriguez, breaking a 1-1 tie to give Milwaukee a 2-1 lead.
Top of the 5th — bases and outs
5 plate-appearance transitions in the top of inning 5. - 5–7
Relief Pitching
Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby earned the win by pitching 3.0 scoreless and hitless innings of relief across the fifth, sixth, and seventh innings, issuing two walks and recording three strikeouts over ten batters faced.
- pitches
- 38
- innings appeared
- 5–7
- 5–9
Bullpen Run Prevention
Aaron Ashby · Abner Uribe · Trevor Megill
Milwaukee's bullpen trio of Aaron Ashby, Abner Uribe, and Trevor Megill prevented San Diego from mounting a late-game comeback by combining for 5.0 hitless innings with six strikeouts from the fifth through ninth innings to protect a narrow lead.
- ▲ 6
Game State Shift
Cooper Pratt
Cooper Pratt hit a ground-rule double in the sixth inning to put two runners in scoring position, finishing 1-for-4 at the plate.
- ▼ 6
Base Out State
Ty France · Austin Hays · Aaron Ashby
San Diego's sixth-inning baserunner was erased when Austin Hays grounded into an inning-ending double play, pitcher to second to first, following a one-out walk by Ty France against Aaron Ashby.
- 7–9 · linked
Substitution Window
Miguel Andujar · Ethan Salas · Gavin Sheets
San Diego made multiple pinch-hitting substitutions in the late innings, using Miguel Andujar in the seventh, and Ethan Salas and Gavin Sheets in the ninth.
- ▲8–▼8
Bullpen Usage
Abner Uribe
Abner Uribe pitched a scoreless eighth inning for Milwaukee, issuing a leadoff walk before retiring three consecutive Padres batters to record a hold.
- 8–9
Matchup Effect
Joe Musgrove
Joe Musgrove pitched two scoreless innings in relief for San Diego, allowing zero hits and one hit-by-pitch while striking out two Milwaukee batters.
- pitches
- 28
- innings appeared
- 8–9
- ▼ 9
Save Situation Sequencing
Trevor Megill · Ethan Salas · Gavin Sheets
In the bottom of the ninth inning, Trevor Megill leveraged upper-90s four-seam fastballs before using out-of-zone knuckle curves to generate swinging strikeouts of pinch-hitters Ethan Salas and Gavin Sheets, securing the save in a 1-2-3 inning.
Milwaukee Brewers pitcher deployment
Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (4 pitchers, 3 subsequent).
See what the reviewed evidence supports—and where its limits are.
The game closed once Milwaukee reached its bullpen
MediumMilwaukee's relief corps maintained the lead over the final five innings without surrendering a hit.
Evidence
- Aaron Ashby · 3 IP · 0 H · 0 ER · 3 K · 2 BB · 38 pitches · W
- Abner Uribe · 1 IP · 0 H · 0 ER · 1 K · 1 BB · 17 pitches
- Trevor Megill · 1 IP · 0 H · 0 ER · 2 K · 0 BB · 15 pitches
- Aaron Ashby · bullpen · 38 pitches · innings 5–7
- Abner Uribe · bullpen · 17 pitches · inning 8
- Trevor Megill · bullpen · 15 pitches · inning 9
- Final score 3–1
Not implied
- Does not imply season-long bullpen hierarchy or closer designation beyond this game.
- Does not imply San Diego batters had poor approach quality.
Limitations
- Does not account for qualitative defensive shifts or manager tactical bullpen scripts.
The first inning was San Diego's best opening
MediumGasser escaped a first-inning bases-loaded jam without allowing a run by retiring Bogaerts on a 0-2 pitch.
Evidence
Bottom 1
- Jackson Merrill vs Robert Gasser
- Manny Machado vs Robert Gasser
- Ty France vs Robert Gasser
- Austin Hays vs Robert Gasser
- Xander Bogaerts vs Robert Gasser
- Sweeper · 82.4 mph · Called Strike
- Sinker · 94.7 mph · Foul
- Sweeper · 81.4 mph · In play, out(s)
- France grounded into fielder's choice to third, Machado to second, Merrill out at third.
- Hays walked, France to second, Machado to third.
- Bogaerts popped out to first.
- Base/out transitions · Bottom 1
Not implied
- Does not imply Gasser intentionally pitched around previous batters or designed the exact count progression.
- Does not establish clutch ability beyond this specific sequence.
Limitations
- Does not include scouting plans or catcher calling intent.
The fifth gave Milwaukee a usable lead
HighGarrett Mitchell's leadoff triple and Jackson Chourio's subsequent RBI single produced Milwaukee's go-ahead run in the fifth inning.
Evidence
Top 5
- Garrett Mitchell vs Robbie Ray
- Joey Ortiz vs Bradgley Rodriguez
- Jackson Chourio vs Bradgley Rodriguez
- Mitchell tripled to right.
- Rodriguez relieved Ray
- Ortiz grounded out to third.
Top 5
- Chourio singled to center, Mitchell scored.
- Base/out transitions · Top 5
Not implied
- Does not imply managerial intent or pitch-selection predictability by either pitcher.
Megill used the fastball to buy the curve a finish
MediumMegill concluded two two-strike strikeouts using knuckle curves following high-velocity fastballs to close out the game.
Evidence
Bottom 9
- Ethan Salas vs Trevor Megill
- Xander Bogaerts vs Trevor Megill
- Gavin Sheets vs Trevor Megill
- 4-Seam Fastball · 99 mph · Foul
- 4-Seam Fastball · 97.9 mph · Called Strike
- 4-Seam Fastball · 99.6 mph · Ball
- Knuckle Curve · 90.2 mph · Swinging Strike
- 4-Seam Fastball · 100.5 mph · Ball
- 4-Seam Fastball · 99.8 mph · Ball
- 4-Seam Fastball · 98.8 mph · Called Strike
- 4-Seam Fastball · 96.2 mph · Foul
- Knuckle Curve · 90.3 mph · Swinging Strike
- Megill relieved Uribe
- Salas struck out swinging.
- Bogaerts grounded out to third.
- Sheets struck out swinging.
- Trevor Megill · 1 IP · 0 H · 0 ER · 2 K · 0 BB · 15 pitches
- Trevor Megill · 4-Seam Fastball · 80% usage
- Trevor Megill · Knuckle Curve · 20% usage
Not implied
- Does not imply pitch-tunneling mastery or a permanent two-strike repertoire identity.
- Does not establish private intent between pitcher and catcher.
Limitations
- Does not include catcher sign sequences or pre-planned pitch design instructions.