MLB

October 6, 2026 · Petco Park

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres Game Analysis — October 6, 2026

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MIL0001101003111
SD00201100—460

Scoring path

Follow the scoring sequence from the first run to the final margin.

MILScoreSD
  1. 3
    0–1
    Supports the analysis

    Tatis Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Taylor scored.

  2. 0–2
    Supports the analysis

    Machado singled to left, Merrill scored.

  3. 4
    Supports the analysis

    Contreras homered to left (365 feet).

    1–2
  4. 5
    Supports the analysis

    Chourio hit sacrifice fly to left, Pratt scored.

    2–2
  5. 2–3

    Cronenworth homered to right (368 feet).

  6. 6
    2–4
    Supports the analysis

    Bogaerts scored on error, Andujar safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Pratt.

  7. 7

    Yelich singled to center, Contreras scored, Turang to second.

    3–4

Key observations by inning

Read the plays and performances in chronological order, or filter the view by team.

  1. 1–9 · linked

    Player Influence

    Jake Bauers · Nick Pivetta · Bradgley Rodriguez · Michael King

    Jake Bauers struck out four times in five plate appearances, striking out looking twice against Nick Pivetta and striking out swinging against Bradgley Rodriguez and Michael King.

  2. 2–4 · linked

    Matchup Effect

    Garrett Mitchell · Nick Pivetta

    Over two plate appearances against Nick Pivetta, Garrett Mitchell flied out in the second inning and struck out looking in the fourth inning.

  3. ▲3–▼3

    Scoring Rally

    Samad Taylor · Jackson Merrill · Fernando Tatis Jr. · Manny Machado · Dustin May

    In the third inning, San Diego produced two runs against Dustin May as Samad Taylor and Jackson Merrill each singled, stole second base, and scored on a Fernando Tatis Jr. RBI groundout and a Manny Machado RBI single, respectively.

    Dustin May pitch selection by count

    Observed pitch-type mix across 5 count groups (57 valid pitches).

    Observed pitch-type mix across 5 count groups (57 valid pitches).

    Observed pitch-type mix across 5 count groups (57 valid pitches).
  4. 4–5

    Bullpen Usage

    JoJo Romero · Jake Cronenworth

    JoJo Romero pitched 1.2 innings in relief for Milwaukee across the fourth and fifth innings, striking out two and allowing only one hit, which was Jake Cronenworth's solo home run.

  5. 4–5

    Game State Shift

    William Contreras · Jackson Chourio

    Milwaukee erased an early 2-0 deficit with single runs in the fourth and fifth innings courtesy of a William Contreras solo home run and a Jackson Chourio sacrifice fly.

  6. ▲ 5

    Base Out State

    Joey Ortiz · Jackson Chourio · Cooper Pratt · Sal Frelick

    In the fifth inning, Joey Ortiz advanced Cooper Pratt to third and Sal Frelick to second with a sacrifice bunt, setting up Jackson Chourio's sacrifice fly to tie the game at 2-2.

  7. 5–9

    Bullpen Usage

    Jason Adam · Yuki Matsui · Bradgley Rodriguez · Michael King

    San Diego used four relievers over the final 4.2 innings—Jason Adam, Yuki Matsui, Bradgley Rodriguez, and Michael King—who combined to allow one run on six hits while recording five strikeouts and one save.

  8. 6–7 · linked

    Middle-relief Deployment

    Bradgley Rodriguez

    In 1.1 innings of relief, Bradgley Rodriguez utilized an off-speed heavy approach featuring 11 changeups on 21 total pitches (52.4% usage), generating four whiffs on six swings with the pitch and striking out Jackson Chourio, Jake Bauers, and Garrett Mitchell.

    San Diego Padres pitcher deployment

    Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (5 pitchers, 4 subsequent).

    Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (5 pitchers, 4 subsequent).

    Observed pitching-staff sequence by inning (5 pitchers, 4 subsequent).
  9. ▼ 6

    Two-out Scoring Sequence

    Xander Bogaerts · Miguel Andujar · Cooper Pratt · DL Hall

    In the bottom of the sixth inning, after Xander Bogaerts singled with two outs and advanced on a wild pitch, Miguel Andujar put a 3-2 pitch into play that led to a Cooper Pratt throwing error, scoring Bogaerts for an unearned run that extended San Diego's lead to 4-2.

  10. ▲8–▼8

    Pitch Pattern

    Abner Uribe

    Abner Uribe worked a perfect eighth inning on seven pitches for Milwaukee, inducing three consecutive groundouts from Manny Machado, Ty France, and Ethan Salas.

What this game can—and can’t tell us

MILSDShared

See what the reviewed evidence supports—and where its limits are.

  • The first lead came from free bases, not loud damage

    High

    San Diego established a 2-0 lead in the third inning through a combination of singles, stolen bases, and timely contact.

    Evidence

    Bottom 3

    • Samad Taylor vs Dustin May
    • Jake Cronenworth vs Dustin May
    • Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Dustin May
    • Jackson Merrill vs Dustin May
    • Manny Machado vs Dustin May
    • Pitch 4 : Ball In Play
    • Taylor stole second.
    • Cronenworth hit sacrifice bunt to third, Taylor to third.

    Bottom 3

    • Tatis Jr. grounded out to shortstop, Taylor scored.
    • Pitch 1 : Ball In Play
    • Merrill stole second.

    Bottom 3

    • Machado singled to left, Merrill scored.
    • Score after inning 3: 0–2

    Not implied

    • Does not imply Dustin May had a mechanical or physical issue during the inning.
    • Does not imply San Diego's baserunning aggressiveness was scripted before the game.
    Samad TaylorJackson MerrillFernando Tatis Jr.Manny MachadoDustin MaySan Diego Padres
  • The sixth-inning insurance run was the kind Milwaukee could not afford

    Medium

    San Diego capitalized on a two-out single, wild pitch, and fielding error to add an unearned insurance run in the sixth inning.

    Evidence

    Bottom 6

    • Xander Bogaerts vs Antonio Senzatela
    • Miguel Andujar vs DL Hall
    • 4-Seam Fastball · 96.6 mph · In play, run(s)
    • Bogaerts singled to left.
    • Bogaerts to second on wild pitch by Hall.
    • Pitch 9 : Ball In Play

    Bottom 6

    • Bogaerts scored on error, Andujar safe at first on throwing error by shortstop Pratt.

    Not implied

    • Does not imply Pratt's throwing error was caused by pressure.
    • Does not imply Hall's pitch execution was intentionally pitched around Andujar.

    Limitations

    • Statcast defensive tracking and advance scouting data are absent.
    Xander BogaertsMiguel AndujarCooper PrattDL HallSan Diego Padres
  • Rodriguez made the bridge inning a changeup argument

    Medium

    Rodriguez relied heavily and effectively on his changeup to record three strikeouts over 1.1 innings.

    Evidence

    Top 6

    • Joey Ortiz vs Bradgley Rodriguez

    Top 7

    • Jackson Chourio vs Bradgley Rodriguez
    • Jake Bauers vs Bradgley Rodriguez
    • Garrett Mitchell vs Bradgley Rodriguez
    • Changeup · 90.2 mph · Called Strike
    • Changeup · 92 mph · Swinging Strike
    • Changeup · 92.1 mph · Swinging Strike
    • Changeup · 91.5 mph · Swinging Strike
    • Changeup · 92.7 mph · Swinging Strike
    • Bradgley Rodriguez · Changeup · 52% usage
    • Bradgley Rodriguez · 1.1 IP · 3 H · 1 ER · 3 K · 0 BB · 21 pitches

    Not implied

    • Does not imply Rodriguez relies on changeups at the same rate across all outings.
    • Does not imply Milwaukee batters had a systemic inability to hit changeups.

    Limitations

    • Does not include catcher pitch-calling signs or scouting reports.
    Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres